GW6 EPL DFS Plays - Saturday 9/3


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Before reading, PLEASE realize that things could change drastically between the time of writing and when lineups lock. I expect heavy rotation from some of these clubs this weekend with the crowded schedule.

You've got to be around in the discord chat to take advantage. It's where the magic happens.

F CORE

Harry Kane ($10,500) / Son Heung-Min ($9,500) / Richarlison ($9,700) / Dejan Kulusevski ($7,200) - Unsure who starts in the attack for Tottenham, but expect some rotation. Whoever ends up starting will be an option in all formats. Largest favorites on the slate, so exposure is warranted.

Morgan Gibbs-White ($6,100) - Only thing holding MGW back is Renan Lodi taking NFO's sole corner against City. I wouldn't worry though as this is a perfect buy low spot for all of Forest. We'll have more clarity once official lineups are out.

F CASH

Pedro Neto ($8,000) - Has a stronghold over Wolves set pieces. Steady stream of shots as well. I don't love the upside at this steep of a price, but this is a winnable spot for Neto.

F GPP

Alexander Isak ($6,600) - Focal point of Newcastle's attack in a pretty good spot. Palace has a strong defense, but it's not impenetrable. He's an exciting name though and will be popular because of it. Part of me prefers other options in this range, like...

Emmanuel Dennis ($6,100), Brennan Johnson ($5,200) - The main goal threats for Forest. Johnson is arguably NFO's most important attacker. 16G/10A last season. Fantastic price, fantastic spot. Buy, buy, buy.

Raul Jimenez ($5,600) - Southampton's gung-ho style plays well into the way Wolves want to play. Probably won't see Jimenez this cheap too often.

F DART

Kai Havertz ($5,900) - Beating a dead horse here, but I still expect Havertz to get his first goal sooner than later. Plenty of other attractive options in this range though, which gives me some hesitation. Worth a sprinkle of GPP exposure in Chelsea stacks.

Dominic Solanke ($4,500) - A suitable partner in NFO/BOU mini-stacks.

M HYBRID

Mason Mount ($7,700) - Looks to have control over most of Chelsea's set pieces for the moment, but it's all over the place. Kovacic back in the fold gives Mount room to roam in the attack. I don't expect him to be too heavily owned either, making him a great option in all formats for me.

Marcus Tavernier ($5,800) - Takes most of Bournemouth's set pieces, and gets a very good matchup against Forest. Much prefer other options in this price range.

Matheus Nunes ($4,200) - Nunes has been taking some of Wolves set pieces which makes him usable if you need value. However, I like the idea of chasing upside on this slate.

M DART

Jesse Lingard ($5,300) - Toss up whether he'll start. Hasn't found his footing yet with Forest, but we've seen upside from Lingard in the past.

D CORE

Kieran Trippier ($5,900) / Matt Targett ($5,200) - CRY bleed crosses from right side, which bodes well for Trippier in particular. Targett, too is an option with a shared role on set pieces.

D HYBRID

Reece James ($7,400) - If James is starting at wing-back, he's a very valuable asset. Again, I like chasing upside, but James is someone I'd be comfortable using in all formats.

Ryan Sessegnon ($4,900) - Expect Ivan Perisic to be rotated, giving Sessegnon another shot at wing-back. Fine combination of floor and upside, with the freedom to roam into dangerous positions under Conte. Works best in Tottenham stacks.

D GPP

Renan Lodi ($4,800) - Low oened differential off of guys like Targett and Sessegnon in the same range. Very high on Forest this weekend, if you can't already tell.

GK HYBRID

Edoard Mendy ($5,100) - Cheaper than I'd expect, below Pope and Henderson yet the bigger favorite. Chelsea are yet to keep a clean sheet this season, but this could very well be the first. I think Mendy is your guy this week.

Lot to digest this week. Make sure to be in chat tomorrow morning.


Favorites from large to small:

Tottenham (-210) vs Fulham (+600)

Chelsea (-195) vs West Ham (+550)

Nottingham Forest (+100) vs Bournemouth (+290)

Newcastle (+105) vs Crystal Palace (+295)

Brentford (+125) vs Leeds (+235)

Wolverhampton (+125) vs Southampton (+235)

I'm very much leaning towards all the home teams this slate. Each home team is the favorite.

For me, the main focus this slate is NFO/BOU. As much as I want the game to shootout, we musn't forget the total is just 2.5 with the odds leaning on the under. In a vacuum, there's upside with many different players, but the odds of everyone hitting is slim. Work them into your builds, but tread carefully in going overboard.

Prioritize exposure NFO/BOU, but be sure to own pieces of Tottenham and Chelsea attacks too.

I'll be in the discord chat tomorrow with some updates, a Q&A session, and my final thoughts on the slate.

Don't miss it.


Thanks for reading this week,

T

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